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Powered by KalshiWhen will the Senate leave for August recess?·Before Aug 8, 2026·2%(-62%)Georgia Attorney General winner?·Tanya Miller·97.3%(+54.3%)Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?·Kevin Spacey·27%(-53%)Michigan State Senate winner?·Republican party·72%(+52%)Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?·Sonia Sotomayor·59%(+50.2%)Minas Gerais Governor winner?·Cleitinho Azevedo·63%(+46%)Who will testify in front of Congress in 2026?·Jerome Powell·63%(+39%)FL-19 Republican nominee?·Catalina Lauf·64%(+39%)Who will drop out of their election?·Max Miller (before 8/11)·7%(-34%)Next President of Hungary?·Botond Fülöp·1%(-33%)Colorado Senate margin of victory·Democrats, 18+ pts·75%(+33%)Will Trump do anything this week? (8/2-8/8)·At least 8·1%(-33%)Chicago Mayor winner?·Mike Quigley·0.3%(-28.7%)How many bills will President Trump sign in Aug 2026?·0·47%(-28%)Minnesota Republican Governor nominee?·Mike Lindell·46%(-25%)
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Summary

Republicans, 2+ pts is favored at 45% as of 7 Aug 2026, 02:03 UTC across 5 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Republicans, 2+ pts: 45% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 5+ pts: 35% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 8+ pts: 20% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 11+ pts: 16% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 14+ pts: 9% (24h change 0%)
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Iowa's 2nd District margin of victory

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Odds history

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