Iowa's 4th District margin of victory
Trade ↗McGowan, 12+ pts is favored at 85% as of 4 Nov 2026, 07:01 UTC across 8 markets.
- McGowan, 12+ pts: 85% (24h change +2%)
- McGowan, 15+ pts: 76% (24h change +5%)
- McGowan, 18+ pts: 58% (24h change 0%)
- McGowan, 21+ pts: 43% (24h change 0%)
- McGowan, 27+ pts: 31% (24h change 0%)
- McGowan, 24+ pts: 29% (24h change -13%)
- McGowan, 30+ pts: 17% (24h change +1%)
- McGowan, 33+ pts: 15% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: Iowa's 4th District margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Iowa's 4th District margin of victory?
McGowan, 12+ pts is favored at 85% as of 4 Nov 2026, 07:01 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Iowa's 4th District margin of victory?
McGowan, 12+ pts: 85%; McGowan, 15+ pts: 76%; McGowan, 18+ pts: 58%; McGowan, 21+ pts: 43%; McGowan, 27+ pts: 31%; McGowan, 24+ pts: 29%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.