Illinois's 4th District margin of victory
Trade ↗Garcia, 27+ pts is favored at 72% as of 4 Nov 2026, 00:01 UTC across 8 markets.
- Garcia, 27+ pts: 72% (24h change +7%)
- Garcia, 30+ pts: 67% (24h change -10%)
- Garcia, 36+ pts: 44% (24h change 0%)
- Garcia, 39+ pts: 27% (24h change -2%)
- Garcia, 42+ pts: 24% (24h change 0%)
- Garcia, 48+ pts: 18% (24h change 0%)
- Garcia, 51+ pts: 17% (24h change +7.9%)
- Garcia, 45+ pts: 9.9% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: Illinois's 4th District margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Illinois's 4th District margin of victory?
Garcia, 27+ pts is favored at 72% as of 4 Nov 2026, 00:01 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Illinois's 4th District margin of victory?
Garcia, 27+ pts: 72%; Garcia, 30+ pts: 67%; Garcia, 36+ pts: 44%; Garcia, 39+ pts: 27%; Garcia, 42+ pts: 24%; Garcia, 48+ pts: 18%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.