Democrats, 31+ pts is favored at 87% as of 24 Aug 2026, 19:03 UTC across 4 markets.
- Democrats, 31+ pts: 87% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 34+ pts: 84% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 37+ pts: 74% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 55+ pts: 16% (24h change 0%)
Illinois's 5th District margin of victory
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: Illinois's 5th District margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Illinois's 5th District margin of victory?
Democrats, 31+ pts is favored at 87% as of 24 Aug 2026, 19:03 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Illinois's 5th District margin of victory?
Democrats, 31+ pts: 87%; Democrats, 34+ pts: 84%; Democrats, 37+ pts: 74%; Democrats, 55+ pts: 16%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.