Republicans, 21+ pts is favored at 88% as of 7 Aug 2026, 20:04 UTC across 2 markets.
- Republicans, 21+ pts: 88% (24h change 0%)
- Republicans, 30+ pts: 63% (24h change 0%)
Illinois's 15th District margin of victory
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About this market
Market question: Illinois's 15th District margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Illinois's 15th District margin of victory?
Republicans, 21+ pts is favored at 88% as of 7 Aug 2026, 20:04 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Illinois's 15th District margin of victory?
Republicans, 21+ pts: 88%; Republicans, 30+ pts: 63%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.