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Illinois's 16th District margin of victory

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Live market summary

LaHood, 9+ pts is favored at 91.8% as of 4 Nov 2026, 00:31 UTC across 9 markets.

  • LaHood, 9+ pts: 91.8% (24h change +12.8%)
  • LaHood, 6+ pts: 86% (24h change 0%)
  • LaHood, 12+ pts: 71% (24h change 0%)
  • LaHood, 15+ pts: 60% (24h change 0%)
  • LaHood, 18+ pts: 49% (24h change 0%)
  • LaHood, 21+ pts: 38% (24h change -5%)
  • LaHood, 24+ pts: 20% (24h change 0%)
  • LaHood, 27+ pts: 9% (24h change 0%)
  • LaHood, 30+ pts: 4.4% (24h change 0%)

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About this market

Market question: Illinois's 16th District margin of victory

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Illinois's 16th District margin of victory?

LaHood, 9+ pts is favored at 91.8% as of 4 Nov 2026, 00:31 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Illinois's 16th District margin of victory?

LaHood, 9+ pts: 91.8%; LaHood, 6+ pts: 86%; LaHood, 12+ pts: 71%; LaHood, 15+ pts: 60%; LaHood, 18+ pts: 49%; LaHood, 21+ pts: 38%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.