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Indiana's 4th District margin of victory

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Live market summary

Baird, 13+ pts is favored at 94% as of 4 Nov 2026, 00:31 UTC across 8 markets.

  • Baird, 13+ pts: 94% (24h change +7%)
  • Baird, 16+ pts: 79% (24h change 0%)
  • Baird, 19+ pts: 77% (24h change 0%)
  • Baird, 22+ pts: 47% (24h change -7%)
  • Baird, 25+ pts: 40% (24h change 0%)
  • Baird, 28+ pts: 34% (24h change 0%)
  • Baird, 31+ pts: 28% (24h change 0%)
  • Baird, 37+ pts: 8.1% (24h change 0%)

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About this market

Market question: Indiana's 4th District margin of victory

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Indiana's 4th District margin of victory?

Baird, 13+ pts is favored at 94% as of 4 Nov 2026, 00:31 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Indiana's 4th District margin of victory?

Baird, 13+ pts: 94%; Baird, 16+ pts: 79%; Baird, 19+ pts: 77%; Baird, 22+ pts: 47%; Baird, 25+ pts: 40%; Baird, 28+ pts: 34%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.