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Powered by KalshiWhen will the Senate leave for August recess?·Before Aug 8, 2026·2%(-62%)Georgia Attorney General winner?·Tanya Miller·97.3%(+54.3%)Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?·Kevin Spacey·27%(-53%)Michigan State Senate winner?·Republican party·72%(+52%)Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?·Sonia Sotomayor·59%(+50.2%)Minas Gerais Governor winner?·Cleitinho Azevedo·62%(+45%)Who will testify in front of Congress in 2026?·Jerome Powell·63%(+39%)FL-19 Republican nominee?·Catalina Lauf·64%(+39%)Who will drop out of their election?·Max Miller (before 8/11)·5%(-36%)Next President of Hungary?·Botond Fülöp·1%(-33%)Colorado Senate margin of victory·Democrats, 18+ pts·75%(+33%)Will Trump do anything this week? (8/2-8/8)·At least 8·2%(-32%)Chicago Mayor winner?·Mike Quigley·0.3%(-28.7%)How many bills will President Trump sign in Aug 2026?·0·48%(-27%)Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/3 - 8/9)·Above 10·18%(-25%)
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Summary

Democrats, 5+ pts is favored at 98.8% as of 8 Aug 2026, 18:04 UTC across 9 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Democrats, 5+ pts: 98.8% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 8+ pts: 90.1% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 11+ pts: 79% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 14+ pts: 65% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 20+ pts: 50% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 17+ pts: 49% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 26+ pts: 27% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 23+ pts: 22% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 29+ pts: 8.1% (24h change 0%)
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Kansas's 3rd District margin of victory

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