Kansas's 4th District margin of victory
Trade ↗Estes, 5+ pts is favored at 91.9% as of 4 Nov 2026, 05:02 UTC across 8 markets.
- Estes, 5+ pts: 91.9% (24h change +6.9%)
- Estes, 8+ pts: 82% (24h change 0%)
- Estes, 11+ pts: 65% (24h change 0%)
- Estes, 20+ pts: 50% (24h change 0%)
- Estes, 23+ pts: 20% (24h change 0%)
- Estes, 32+ pts: 13% (24h change 0%)
- Estes, 26+ pts: 11% (24h change 0%)
- Estes, 17+ pts: 3.1% (24h change -50.9%)
About this market
Market question: Kansas's 4th District margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Kansas's 4th District margin of victory?
Estes, 5+ pts is favored at 91.9% as of 4 Nov 2026, 05:02 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Kansas's 4th District margin of victory?
Estes, 5+ pts: 91.9%; Estes, 8+ pts: 82%; Estes, 11+ pts: 65%; Estes, 20+ pts: 50%; Estes, 23+ pts: 20%; Estes, 32+ pts: 13%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.