Louisiana's 4th District margin of victory
Trade ↗Republicans, 15+ pts is favored at 80% as of 3 Nov 2026, 21:32 UTC across 13 markets.
- Republicans, 15+ pts: 80% (24h change 0%)
- Republicans, 18+ pts: 73% (24h change 0%)
- Republicans, 21+ pts: 68% (24h change 0%)
- Republicans, 24+ pts: 64% (24h change 0%)
- Republicans, 36+ pts: 62% (24h change 0%)
- Republicans, 33+ pts: 45% (24h change 0%)
- Republicans, 30+ pts: 37% (24h change 0%)
- Republicans, 39+ pts: 22% (24h change 0%)
- Republicans, 42+ pts: 11% (24h change -3%)
- Republicans, 57+ pts: 10% (24h change 0%)
- Republicans, 45+ pts: 9.7% (24h change 0%)
- Republicans, 48+ pts: 9.1% (24h change 0%)
- Republicans, 51+ pts: 8.7% (24h change 0%)
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About this market
Market question: Louisiana's 4th District margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Louisiana's 4th District margin of victory?
Republicans, 15+ pts is favored at 80% as of 3 Nov 2026, 21:32 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Louisiana's 4th District margin of victory?
Republicans, 15+ pts: 80%; Republicans, 18+ pts: 73%; Republicans, 21+ pts: 68%; Republicans, 24+ pts: 64%; Republicans, 36+ pts: 62%; Republicans, 33+ pts: 45%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.