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Massachusetts's 1st District margin of victory

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Live market summary

Neal, 12+ pts is favored at 98.4% as of 3 Nov 2026, 23:31 UTC across 9 markets.

  • Neal, 12+ pts: 98.4% (24h change +7.4%)
  • Neal, 18+ pts: 95.2% (24h change +9.2%)
  • Neal, 15+ pts: 92.4% (24h change 0%)
  • Neal, 21+ pts: 74% (24h change 0%)
  • Neal, 24+ pts: 74% (24h change +16%)
  • Neal, 27+ pts: 47% (24h change 0%)
  • Neal, 30+ pts: 28% (24h change 0%)
  • Neal, 33+ pts: 16% (24h change 0%)
  • Neal, 36+ pts: 12% (24h change +6.5%)

All options

Neal, 12+ pts

98.4%
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Neal, 18+ pts

95.2%
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Neal, 24+ pts

74%
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Neal, 36+ pts

12%
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About this market

Market question: Massachusetts's 1st District margin of victory

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Massachusetts's 1st District margin of victory?

Neal, 12+ pts is favored at 98.4% as of 3 Nov 2026, 23:31 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Massachusetts's 1st District margin of victory?

Neal, 12+ pts: 98.4%; Neal, 18+ pts: 95.2%; Neal, 15+ pts: 92.4%; Neal, 21+ pts: 74%; Neal, 24+ pts: 74%; Neal, 27+ pts: 47%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.