Democrats, 15+ pts is favored at 88% as of 24 Aug 2026, 18:33 UTC across 3 markets.
- Democrats, 15+ pts: 88% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 18+ pts: 78% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 21+ pts: 67% (24h change 0%)
Massachusetts's 1st District margin of victory
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About this market
Market question: Massachusetts's 1st District margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Massachusetts's 1st District margin of victory?
Democrats, 15+ pts is favored at 88% as of 24 Aug 2026, 18:33 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Massachusetts's 1st District margin of victory?
Democrats, 15+ pts: 88%; Democrats, 18+ pts: 78%; Democrats, 21+ pts: 67%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.