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Powered by KalshiMI-08 Republican nominee?·Thomas J Smith·99%(+98%)Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?·Abdul El-Sayed, 0-3%·99%(+96%)MO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Wesley Bell, ≥15%·99%(+91%)Michigan Senate Democratic primary: which counties will Abdul El-Sayed win?·Wayne·1%(-89%)MO-01 Republican nominee?·Andrew Jones·1%(-88%)MO-08 Democratic nominee?·Frank A Barnitz·1%(-88%)MO-04 Democratic nominee?·Jordan Herrera·99%(+83%)MI-13 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Donavan McKinney, 3-6%·96%(+81%)KS-01 Democratic nominee?·Colin McRoberts·1%(-79%)Michigan Senate General Election: voter turnout·Above 4.70M·84%(+63%)Michigan Senate Democratic primary: voter turnout·Above 1.5M·99%(+63%)Alabama Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 13+ pts·37%(-55%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/3 - 8/9)·Above 55·27%(-52%)TN-06 Democratic nominee?·Chaney Mosley·93%(+51%)WA-05 primary: who will advance?·Nate Powell·4%(-50%)
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Summary

Republicans, 2+ pts is favored at 79% as of 5 Aug 2026, 00:03 UTC across 9 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Republicans, 2+ pts: 79% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 5+ pts: 67% (24h change -3%)
  • Republicans, 8+ pts: 58% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 11+ pts: 41% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 14+ pts: 32% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 17+ pts: 16% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 20+ pts: 12% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 23+ pts: 2.5% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 26+ pts: 2.1% (24h change 0%)
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Maryland's 1st District margin of victory

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