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Michigan's 1st District margin of victory

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Live market summary

Bergman, 1+ pts is favored at 78% as of 4 Nov 2026, 01:32 UTC across 10 markets.

  • Bergman, 1+ pts: 78% (24h change 0%)
  • Bergman, 4+ pts: 73% (24h change 0%)
  • Bergman, 7+ pts: 64% (24h change 0%)
  • Bergman, 10+ pts: 54% (24h change -6%)
  • Bergman, 13+ pts: 42% (24h change 0%)
  • Bergman, 16+ pts: 25% (24h change 0%)
  • Bergman, 19+ pts: 17% (24h change 0%)
  • Bergman, 22+ pts: 8.6% (24h change 0%)
  • Bergman, 28+ pts: 5% (24h change 0%)
  • Bergman, 25+ pts: 4.4% (24h change 0%)
About this market

Market question: Michigan's 1st District margin of victory

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Michigan's 1st District margin of victory?

Bergman, 1+ pts is favored at 78% as of 4 Nov 2026, 01:32 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Michigan's 1st District margin of victory?

Bergman, 1+ pts: 78%; Bergman, 4+ pts: 73%; Bergman, 7+ pts: 64%; Bergman, 10+ pts: 54%; Bergman, 13+ pts: 42%; Bergman, 16+ pts: 25%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.