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Minnesota's 1st District margin of victory

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Live market summary

Johnson, 1+ pts is favored at 40% as of 4 Nov 2026, 02:01 UTC across 3 markets.

  • Johnson, 1+ pts: 40% (24h change 0%)
  • Johnson, 2+ pts: 35% (24h change 0%)
  • Johnson, 5+ pts: 20% (24h change +7%)

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About this market

Market question: Minnesota's 1st District margin of victory

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Minnesota's 1st District margin of victory?

Johnson, 1+ pts is favored at 40% as of 4 Nov 2026, 02:01 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Minnesota's 1st District margin of victory?

Johnson, 1+ pts: 40%; Johnson, 2+ pts: 35%; Johnson, 5+ pts: 20%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.