Democrats, 55+ pts is favored at 70% as of 12 Aug 2026, 23:34 UTC across 3 markets.
- Democrats, 55+ pts: 70% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 58+ pts: 69% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 61+ pts: 51% (24h change 0%)
Missouri's 1st District margin of victory
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About this market
Market question: Missouri's 1st District margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Missouri's 1st District margin of victory?
Democrats, 55+ pts is favored at 70% as of 12 Aug 2026, 23:34 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Missouri's 1st District margin of victory?
Democrats, 55+ pts: 70%; Democrats, 58+ pts: 69%; Democrats, 61+ pts: 51%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.