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Missouri's 3rd District margin of victory

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Live market summary

Republicans, 5+ pts is favored at 92.6% as of 4 Nov 2026, 00:01 UTC across 8 markets.

  • Republicans, 5+ pts: 92.6% (24h change +2.5%)
  • Republicans, 8+ pts: 86% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 11+ pts: 79% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 14+ pts: 70% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 20+ pts: 37% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 29+ pts: 25% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 23+ pts: 22% (24h change +22%)
  • Republicans, 26+ pts: 14% (24h change -9%)
About this market

Market question: Missouri's 3rd District margin of victory

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Missouri's 3rd District margin of victory?

Republicans, 5+ pts is favored at 92.6% as of 4 Nov 2026, 00:01 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Missouri's 3rd District margin of victory?

Republicans, 5+ pts: 92.6%; Republicans, 8+ pts: 86%; Republicans, 11+ pts: 79%; Republicans, 14+ pts: 70%; Republicans, 20+ pts: 37%; Republicans, 29+ pts: 25%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.