Missouri's 3rd District margin of victory
Trade ↗Republicans, 5+ pts is favored at 92.6% as of 4 Nov 2026, 00:01 UTC across 8 markets.
- Republicans, 5+ pts: 92.6% (24h change +2.5%)
- Republicans, 8+ pts: 86% (24h change 0%)
- Republicans, 11+ pts: 79% (24h change 0%)
- Republicans, 14+ pts: 70% (24h change 0%)
- Republicans, 20+ pts: 37% (24h change 0%)
- Republicans, 29+ pts: 25% (24h change 0%)
- Republicans, 23+ pts: 22% (24h change +22%)
- Republicans, 26+ pts: 14% (24h change -9%)
About this market
Market question: Missouri's 3rd District margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Missouri's 3rd District margin of victory?
Republicans, 5+ pts is favored at 92.6% as of 4 Nov 2026, 00:01 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Missouri's 3rd District margin of victory?
Republicans, 5+ pts: 92.6%; Republicans, 8+ pts: 86%; Republicans, 11+ pts: 79%; Republicans, 14+ pts: 70%; Republicans, 20+ pts: 37%; Republicans, 29+ pts: 25%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.