Republicans, 14+ pts is favored at 94.8% as of 19 Sep 2026, 16:06 UTC across 9 markets.
- Republicans, 14+ pts: 94.8% (24h change 0%)
- Republicans, 5+ pts: 87% (24h change 0%)
- Republicans, 23+ pts: 81% (24h change 0%)
- Republicans, 26+ pts: 78% (24h change 0%)
- Republicans, 8+ pts: 75% (24h change 0%)
- Republicans, 11+ pts: 71% (24h change 0%)
- Republicans, 29+ pts: 68% (24h change 0%)
- Republicans, 17+ pts: 66% (24h change 0%)
- Republicans, 20+ pts: 54% (24h change 0%)
Missouri's 4th District margin of victory
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: Missouri's 4th District margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Missouri's 4th District margin of victory?
Republicans, 14+ pts is favored at 94.8% as of 19 Sep 2026, 16:06 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Missouri's 4th District margin of victory?
Republicans, 14+ pts: 94.8%; Republicans, 5+ pts: 87%; Republicans, 23+ pts: 81%; Republicans, 26+ pts: 78%; Republicans, 8+ pts: 75%; Republicans, 11+ pts: 71%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.