Missouri's 4th District margin of victory
Trade ↗Republicans, 5+ pts is favored at 95.9% as of 4 Nov 2026, 02:01 UTC across 10 markets.
- Republicans, 5+ pts: 95.9% (24h change +1%)
- Republicans, 8+ pts: 94.4% (24h change +0.6%)
- Republicans, 11+ pts: 93.4% (24h change 0%)
- Republicans, 14+ pts: 91.5% (24h change -1.5%)
- Republicans, 17+ pts: 86% (24h change 0%)
- Republicans, 20+ pts: 82% (24h change -1%)
- Republicans, 23+ pts: 82% (24h change 0%)
- Republicans, 29+ pts: 61% (24h change +7%)
- Republicans, 26+ pts: 60% (24h change 0%)
- Republicans, 32+ pts: 32% (24h change 0%)
All options
About this market
Market question: Missouri's 4th District margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Missouri's 4th District margin of victory?
Republicans, 5+ pts is favored at 95.9% as of 4 Nov 2026, 02:01 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Missouri's 4th District margin of victory?
Republicans, 5+ pts: 95.9%; Republicans, 8+ pts: 94.4%; Republicans, 11+ pts: 93.4%; Republicans, 14+ pts: 91.5%; Republicans, 17+ pts: 86%; Republicans, 20+ pts: 82%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.