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Live market summary

Republicans, 12+ pts is favored at 6% as of 5 Oct 2026, 16:05 UTC across 6 markets.

  • Republicans, 12+ pts: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 15+ pts: 5.9% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 18+ pts: 5.6% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 9+ pts: 4.5% (24h change -0.5%)
  • Republicans, 3+ pts: 4.5% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 6+ pts: 4.1% (24h change 0%)
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Missouri's 5th District margin of victory

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About this market

Market question: Missouri's 5th District margin of victory

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Missouri's 5th District margin of victory?

Republicans, 12+ pts is favored at 6% as of 5 Oct 2026, 16:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Missouri's 5th District margin of victory?

Republicans, 12+ pts: 6%; Republicans, 15+ pts: 5.9%; Republicans, 18+ pts: 5.6%; Republicans, 9+ pts: 4.5%; Republicans, 3+ pts: 4.5%; Republicans, 6+ pts: 4.1%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.