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Live market summary

Democrats, 1+ pts is favored at 50% as of 23 Aug 2026, 22:33 UTC across 3 markets.

  • Democrats, 1+ pts: 50% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 4+ pts: 28% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 10+ pts: 6.9% (24h change 0%)
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North Carolina's 1st District margin of victory

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About this market

Market question: North Carolina's 1st District margin of victory

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in North Carolina's 1st District margin of victory?

Democrats, 1+ pts is favored at 50% as of 23 Aug 2026, 22:33 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for North Carolina's 1st District margin of victory?

Democrats, 1+ pts: 50%; Democrats, 4+ pts: 28%; Democrats, 10+ pts: 6.9%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.