North Carolina's 3rd District margin of victory
Trade ↗Murphy, 1+ pts is favored at 74% as of 4 Nov 2026, 05:31 UTC across 9 markets.
- Murphy, 1+ pts: 74% (24h change 0%)
- Murphy, 6+ pts: 69% (24h change +44%)
- Murphy, 9+ pts: 18% (24h change +7%)
- Murphy, 24+ pts: 11% (24h change 0%)
- Murphy, 21+ pts: 9% (24h change +9%)
- Murphy, 15+ pts: 8.2% (24h change -0.7%)
- Murphy, 3+ pts: 6% (24h change -34%)
- Murphy, 12+ pts: 6% (24h change -16%)
- Murphy, 18+ pts: 0.1% (24h change -0.3%)
About this market
Market question: North Carolina's 3rd District margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in North Carolina's 3rd District margin of victory?
Murphy, 1+ pts is favored at 74% as of 4 Nov 2026, 05:31 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for North Carolina's 3rd District margin of victory?
Murphy, 1+ pts: 74%; Murphy, 6+ pts: 69%; Murphy, 9+ pts: 18%; Murphy, 24+ pts: 11%; Murphy, 21+ pts: 9%; Murphy, 15+ pts: 8.2%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.