New Jersey's 4th District margin of victory
Trade ↗Smith, 13+ pts is favored at 94.4% as of 3 Nov 2026, 23:31 UTC across 9 markets.
- Smith, 13+ pts: 94.4% (24h change 0%)
- Smith, 16+ pts: 76% (24h change +76%)
- Smith, 22+ pts: 60% (24h change +1%)
- Smith, 19+ pts: 60% (24h change -10%)
- Smith, 25+ pts: 43% (24h change -6%)
- Smith, 28+ pts: 36% (24h change 0%)
- Smith, 31+ pts: 21% (24h change -1%)
- Smith, 34+ pts: 12% (24h change 0%)
- Smith, 37+ pts: 9% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: New Jersey's 4th District margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in New Jersey's 4th District margin of victory?
Smith, 13+ pts is favored at 94.4% as of 3 Nov 2026, 23:31 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for New Jersey's 4th District margin of victory?
Smith, 13+ pts: 94.4%; Smith, 16+ pts: 76%; Smith, 22+ pts: 60%; Smith, 19+ pts: 60%; Smith, 25+ pts: 43%; Smith, 28+ pts: 36%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.