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New Mexico's 1st District margin of victory

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Live market summary

Stansbury, 11+ pts is favored at 92.9% as of 4 Nov 2026, 05:31 UTC across 4 markets.

  • Stansbury, 11+ pts: 92.9% (24h change 0%)
  • Stansbury, 20+ pts: 85% (24h change +19%)
  • Stansbury, 32+ pts: 24% (24h change 0%)
  • Stansbury, 35+ pts: 14% (24h change 0%)

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About this market

Market question: New Mexico's 1st District margin of victory

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in New Mexico's 1st District margin of victory?

Stansbury, 11+ pts is favored at 92.9% as of 4 Nov 2026, 05:31 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for New Mexico's 1st District margin of victory?

Stansbury, 11+ pts: 92.9%; Stansbury, 20+ pts: 85%; Stansbury, 32+ pts: 24%; Stansbury, 35+ pts: 14%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.