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Live market summary

Vasquez, 1+ pts is favored at 86% as of 19 Sep 2026, 20:35 UTC across 9 markets.

  • Vasquez, 1+ pts: 86% (24h change 0%)
  • Vasquez, 4+ pts: 65% (24h change 0%)
  • Vasquez, 7+ pts: 60% (24h change 0%)
  • Vasquez, 10+ pts: 50% (24h change 0%)
  • Vasquez, 13+ pts: 38% (24h change 0%)
  • Vasquez, 16+ pts: 24% (24h change 0%)
  • Vasquez, 19+ pts: 22% (24h change 0%)
  • Vasquez, 22+ pts: 14% (24h change 0%)
  • Vasquez, 25+ pts: 12% (24h change 0%)
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New Mexico's 2nd District margin of victory

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About this market

Market question: New Mexico's 2nd District margin of victory

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in New Mexico's 2nd District margin of victory?

Vasquez, 1+ pts is favored at 86% as of 19 Sep 2026, 20:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for New Mexico's 2nd District margin of victory?

Vasquez, 1+ pts: 86%; Vasquez, 4+ pts: 65%; Vasquez, 7+ pts: 60%; Vasquez, 10+ pts: 50%; Vasquez, 13+ pts: 38%; Vasquez, 16+ pts: 24%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.