Democrats, 1+ pts is favored at 86% as of 12 Sep 2026, 23:05 UTC across 9 markets.
- Democrats, 1+ pts: 86% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 7+ pts: 70% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 4+ pts: 65% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 10+ pts: 50% (24h change -8%)
- Democrats, 13+ pts: 38% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 16+ pts: 24% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 19+ pts: 22% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 22+ pts: 14% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 25+ pts: 12% (24h change 0%)
New Mexico's 2nd District margin of victory
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: New Mexico's 2nd District margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in New Mexico's 2nd District margin of victory?
Democrats, 1+ pts is favored at 86% as of 12 Sep 2026, 23:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for New Mexico's 2nd District margin of victory?
Democrats, 1+ pts: 86%; Democrats, 7+ pts: 70%; Democrats, 4+ pts: 65%; Democrats, 10+ pts: 50%; Democrats, 13+ pts: 38%; Democrats, 16+ pts: 24%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.