New Mexico's 2nd District margin of victory
Trade ↗Vasquez, 1+ pts is favored at 81% as of 3 Nov 2026, 22:02 UTC across 9 markets.
- Vasquez, 1+ pts: 81% (24h change +6%)
- Vasquez, 4+ pts: 65% (24h change +34%)
- Vasquez, 10+ pts: 54% (24h change +5%)
- Vasquez, 13+ pts: 35% (24h change -1%)
- Vasquez, 16+ pts: 28% (24h change 0%)
- Vasquez, 19+ pts: 26% (24h change 0%)
- Vasquez, 22+ pts: 14% (24h change 0%)
- Vasquez, 25+ pts: 9.9% (24h change 0%)
- Vasquez, 7+ pts: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: New Mexico's 2nd District margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in New Mexico's 2nd District margin of victory?
Vasquez, 1+ pts is favored at 81% as of 3 Nov 2026, 22:02 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for New Mexico's 2nd District margin of victory?
Vasquez, 1+ pts: 81%; Vasquez, 4+ pts: 65%; Vasquez, 10+ pts: 54%; Vasquez, 13+ pts: 35%; Vasquez, 16+ pts: 28%; Vasquez, 19+ pts: 26%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.