New Mexico's 3rd District margin of victory
Trade ↗Leger Fernández, 9+ pts is favored at 87% as of 3 Nov 2026, 16:02 UTC across 5 markets.
- Leger Fernández, 9+ pts: 87% (24h change 0%)
- Leger Fernández, 12+ pts: 81% (24h change +2%)
- Leger Fernández, 15+ pts: 66% (24h change 0%)
- Leger Fernández, 18+ pts: 55% (24h change 0%)
- Leger Fernández, 24+ pts: 28% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: New Mexico's 3rd District margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in New Mexico's 3rd District margin of victory?
Leger Fernández, 9+ pts is favored at 87% as of 3 Nov 2026, 16:02 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for New Mexico's 3rd District margin of victory?
Leger Fernández, 9+ pts: 87%; Leger Fernández, 12+ pts: 81%; Leger Fernández, 15+ pts: 66%; Leger Fernández, 18+ pts: 55%; Leger Fernández, 24+ pts: 28%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.