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Nevada's 2nd District margin of victory

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Live market summary

Thompson, 5+ pts is favored at 99.7% as of 4 Nov 2026, 06:02 UTC across 3 markets.

  • Thompson, 5+ pts: 99.7% (24h change +93%)
  • Thompson, 1+ pts: 85% (24h change +45%)
  • Thompson, 2+ pts: 34% (24h change +11%)

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About this market

Market question: Nevada's 2nd District margin of victory

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Nevada's 2nd District margin of victory?

Thompson, 5+ pts is favored at 99.7% as of 4 Nov 2026, 06:02 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Nevada's 2nd District margin of victory?

Thompson, 5+ pts: 99.7%; Thompson, 1+ pts: 85%; Thompson, 2+ pts: 34%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.