Nevada's 4th District margin of victory
Trade ↗Horsford, 1+ pts is favored at 91.5% as of 3 Nov 2026, 21:02 UTC across 9 markets.
- Horsford, 1+ pts: 91.5% (24h change 0%)
- Horsford, 4+ pts: 80% (24h change 0%)
- Horsford, 10+ pts: 71% (24h change +28%)
- Horsford, 13+ pts: 67% (24h change 0%)
- Horsford, 7+ pts: 66% (24h change 0%)
- Horsford, 16+ pts: 52% (24h change 0%)
- Horsford, 19+ pts: 32% (24h change +9%)
- Horsford, 22+ pts: 16% (24h change 0%)
- Horsford, 25+ pts: 9.6% (24h change -2.4%)
About this market
Market question: Nevada's 4th District margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Nevada's 4th District margin of victory?
Horsford, 1+ pts is favored at 91.5% as of 3 Nov 2026, 21:02 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Nevada's 4th District margin of victory?
Horsford, 1+ pts: 91.5%; Horsford, 4+ pts: 80%; Horsford, 10+ pts: 71%; Horsford, 13+ pts: 67%; Horsford, 7+ pts: 66%; Horsford, 16+ pts: 52%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.