Democrats, 1+ pts is favored at 91.5% as of 27 Aug 2026, 08:33 UTC across 8 markets.
- Democrats, 1+ pts: 91.5% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 4+ pts: 80% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 7+ pts: 66% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 10+ pts: 43% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 13+ pts: 38% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 19+ pts: 16% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 16+ pts: 16% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 25+ pts: 10% (24h change 0%)
Nevada's 4th District margin of victory
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: Nevada's 4th District margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Nevada's 4th District margin of victory?
Democrats, 1+ pts is favored at 91.5% as of 27 Aug 2026, 08:33 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Nevada's 4th District margin of victory?
Democrats, 1+ pts: 91.5%; Democrats, 4+ pts: 80%; Democrats, 7+ pts: 66%; Democrats, 10+ pts: 43%; Democrats, 13+ pts: 38%; Democrats, 19+ pts: 16%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.