Gillen, 3+ pts is favored at 86% as of 15 Sep 2026, 20:15 UTC across 6 markets.
- Gillen, 3+ pts: 86% (24h change 0%)
- Gillen, 6+ pts: 75% (24h change 0%)
- Gillen, 9+ pts: 74% (24h change 0%)
- Gillen, 12+ pts: 55% (24h change 0%)
- Gillen, 15+ pts: 41% (24h change 0%)
- Gillen, 18+ pts: 32% (24h change 0%)
New York's 4th District margin of victory
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: New York's 4th District margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in New York's 4th District margin of victory?
Gillen, 3+ pts is favored at 86% as of 15 Sep 2026, 20:15 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for New York's 4th District margin of victory?
Gillen, 3+ pts: 86%; Gillen, 6+ pts: 75%; Gillen, 9+ pts: 74%; Gillen, 12+ pts: 55%; Gillen, 15+ pts: 41%; Gillen, 18+ pts: 32%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.