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Democrats, 38+ pts is favored at 92.5% as of 31 Aug 2026, 02:33 UTC across 3 markets.

  • Democrats, 38+ pts: 92.5% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 56+ pts: 51% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 53+ pts: 46% (24h change 0%)
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New York's 9th District margin of victory

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About this market

Market question: New York's 9th District margin of victory

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in New York's 9th District margin of victory?

Democrats, 38+ pts is favored at 92.5% as of 31 Aug 2026, 02:33 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for New York's 9th District margin of victory?

Democrats, 38+ pts: 92.5%; Democrats, 56+ pts: 51%; Democrats, 53+ pts: 46%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.