New York's 17th District margin of victory
Trade ↗Conley, 3+ pts is favored at 98.5% as of 4 Nov 2026, 12:01 UTC across 6 markets.
- Conley, 3+ pts: 98.5% (24h change +56.5%)
- Conley, 1+ pts: 66% (24h change +10%)
- Conley, 6+ pts: 64% (24h change +40%)
- Conley, 9+ pts: 21% (24h change +4%)
- Conley, 15+ pts: 1.1% (24h change -5.7%)
- Conley, 12+ pts: 1% (24h change -8.7%)
About this market
Market question: New York's 17th District margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in New York's 17th District margin of victory?
Conley, 3+ pts is favored at 98.5% as of 4 Nov 2026, 12:01 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for New York's 17th District margin of victory?
Conley, 3+ pts: 98.5%; Conley, 1+ pts: 66%; Conley, 6+ pts: 64%; Conley, 9+ pts: 21%; Conley, 15+ pts: 1.1%; Conley, 12+ pts: 1%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.