New York's 19th District margin of victory
Trade ↗Riley, 3+ pts is favored at 99% as of 4 Nov 2026, 01:32 UTC across 7 markets.
- Riley, 3+ pts: 99% (24h change +18%)
- Riley, 6+ pts: 90.2% (24h change 0%)
- Riley, 9+ pts: 86% (24h change 0%)
- Riley, 12+ pts: 69% (24h change 0%)
- Riley, 15+ pts: 44% (24h change 0%)
- Riley, 18+ pts: 31% (24h change 0%)
- Riley, 21+ pts: 18% (24h change +2%)
About this market
Market question: New York's 19th District margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in New York's 19th District margin of victory?
Riley, 3+ pts is favored at 99% as of 4 Nov 2026, 01:32 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for New York's 19th District margin of victory?
Riley, 3+ pts: 99%; Riley, 6+ pts: 90.2%; Riley, 9+ pts: 86%; Riley, 12+ pts: 69%; Riley, 15+ pts: 44%; Riley, 18+ pts: 31%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.