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New York's 21st District margin of victory

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Live market summary

Constantino, 3+ pts is favored at 58% as of 4 Nov 2026, 01:32 UTC across 9 markets.

  • Constantino, 3+ pts: 58% (24h change +12%)
  • Constantino, 1+ pts: 49% (24h change -14%)
  • Constantino, 6+ pts: 29% (24h change -4%)
  • Constantino, 15+ pts: 27% (24h change 0%)
  • Constantino, 9+ pts: 15% (24h change 0%)
  • Constantino, 24+ pts: 11% (24h change 0%)
  • Constantino, 18+ pts: 7.9% (24h change -14.1%)
  • Constantino, 21+ pts: 4.9% (24h change 0%)
  • Constantino, 12+ pts: 4.1% (24h change 0%)
About this market

Market question: New York's 21st District margin of victory

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in New York's 21st District margin of victory?

Constantino, 3+ pts is favored at 58% as of 4 Nov 2026, 01:32 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for New York's 21st District margin of victory?

Constantino, 3+ pts: 58%; Constantino, 1+ pts: 49%; Constantino, 6+ pts: 29%; Constantino, 15+ pts: 27%; Constantino, 9+ pts: 15%; Constantino, 24+ pts: 11%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.