ElectionOddsPowered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiWho will serve in Burnham’s Cabinet in Jul 2026?·Lisa Nandy·95%(+92%)NY-13 Democratic primary: voter turnout·Above 70k·32%(-62%)Who will Obama endorse before the midterms?·Dan Osborn·5%(-59%)Who will be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer?·Ed Miliband·13%(-58%)Who will attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner?·John Thune·5%(-57%)NY-12 Democratic primary: voter turnout·Above 110k·14%(-48%)Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (7/10-7/17)?·Above 5.9%·5%(-44%)Alaska U.S. House winner? (Person)·Nick Begich III·96.5%(+40.5%)NY-12 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Micah Lasher, 4-6%·96%(+36%)Wisconsin State Assembly winner?·Democratic party·58%(-32%)Who will run for South Carolina Senate?·Russell Fry·57%(-31%)What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?·Venezuela·56%(+31%)Who will leave California before 2027?·Larry Page·58%(-30%)TN-09 Republican nominee?·Brent Taylor·94%(+28%)Georgia: Which elections will be won outright?·Senate·86%(+26%)
Back
Summary

Democrats, 4+ pts is favored at 90.9% as of 15 Jul 2026, 00:02 UTC across 9 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Democrats, 4+ pts: 90.9% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 7+ pts: 85% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 13+ pts: 83% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 10+ pts: 82% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 16+ pts: 72% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 19+ pts: 45% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 22+ pts: 33% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 25+ pts: 20% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 28+ pts: 7.1% (24h change 0%)
governor9 marketsLIVE

New York Governor margin of victory

Trade ↗