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Powered by KalshiMI-08 Republican nominee?·Thomas J Smith·99%(+98%)Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?·Abdul El-Sayed, 0-3%·99%(+96%)MO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Wesley Bell, ≥15%·99%(+91%)Michigan Senate Democratic primary: which counties will Abdul El-Sayed win?·Wayne·1%(-89%)MO-01 Republican nominee?·Andrew Jones·1%(-88%)MO-08 Democratic nominee?·Frank A Barnitz·1%(-88%)MO-04 Democratic nominee?·Jordan Herrera·99%(+83%)MI-13 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Donavan McKinney, 3-6%·96%(+81%)KS-01 Democratic nominee?·Colin McRoberts·1%(-79%)Michigan Senate General Election: voter turnout·Above 4.70M·84%(+63%)Michigan Senate Democratic primary: voter turnout·Above 1.5M·99%(+63%)Alabama Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 13+ pts·37%(-55%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/3 - 8/9)·Above 55·27%(-52%)TN-06 Democratic nominee?·Chaney Mosley·93%(+51%)WA-05 primary: who will advance?·Nate Powell·4%(-50%)
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Summary

Democrats, 1+ pts is favored at 39% as of 4 Aug 2026, 18:33 UTC across 4 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Democrats, 1+ pts: 39% (24h change -2%)
  • Democrats, 4+ pts: 33% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 7+ pts: 20% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 10+ pts: 10% (24h change 0%)
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Pennsylvania's 1st District margin of victory

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