Pennsylvania's 8th District margin of victory
Trade ↗Cognetti, 2+ pts is favored at 89% as of 3 Nov 2026, 23:01 UTC across 6 markets.
- Cognetti, 2+ pts: 89% (24h change +17%)
- Cognetti, 1+ pts: 87% (24h change 0%)
- Cognetti, 5+ pts: 59% (24h change +3%)
- Cognetti, 8+ pts: 26% (24h change -11%)
- Cognetti, 14+ pts: 24% (24h change +14.8%)
- Cognetti, 11+ pts: 16% (24h change -7%)
About this market
Market question: Pennsylvania's 8th District margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Pennsylvania's 8th District margin of victory?
Cognetti, 2+ pts is favored at 89% as of 3 Nov 2026, 23:01 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Pennsylvania's 8th District margin of victory?
Cognetti, 2+ pts: 89%; Cognetti, 1+ pts: 87%; Cognetti, 5+ pts: 59%; Cognetti, 8+ pts: 26%; Cognetti, 14+ pts: 24%; Cognetti, 11+ pts: 16%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.