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Pennsylvania's 8th District margin of victory

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Live market summary

Cognetti, 2+ pts is favored at 89% as of 3 Nov 2026, 23:01 UTC across 6 markets.

  • Cognetti, 2+ pts: 89% (24h change +17%)
  • Cognetti, 1+ pts: 87% (24h change 0%)
  • Cognetti, 5+ pts: 59% (24h change +3%)
  • Cognetti, 8+ pts: 26% (24h change -11%)
  • Cognetti, 14+ pts: 24% (24h change +14.8%)
  • Cognetti, 11+ pts: 16% (24h change -7%)

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About this market

Market question: Pennsylvania's 8th District margin of victory

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Pennsylvania's 8th District margin of victory?

Cognetti, 2+ pts is favored at 89% as of 3 Nov 2026, 23:01 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Pennsylvania's 8th District margin of victory?

Cognetti, 2+ pts: 89%; Cognetti, 1+ pts: 87%; Cognetti, 5+ pts: 59%; Cognetti, 8+ pts: 26%; Cognetti, 14+ pts: 24%; Cognetti, 11+ pts: 16%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.