Thompson, 35+ pts is favored at 49% as of 10 Oct 2026, 20:05 UTC across 3 markets.
- Thompson, 35+ pts: 49% (24h change 0%)
- Thompson, 41+ pts: 24% (24h change 0%)
- Thompson, 38+ pts: 23% (24h change 0%)
Pennsylvania's 15th District margin of victory
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About this market
Market question: Pennsylvania's 15th District margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Pennsylvania's 15th District margin of victory?
Thompson, 35+ pts is favored at 49% as of 10 Oct 2026, 20:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Pennsylvania's 15th District margin of victory?
Thompson, 35+ pts: 49%; Thompson, 41+ pts: 24%; Thompson, 38+ pts: 23%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.