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Summary

Democrats, 2+ pts is favored at 42% as of 19 Aug 2026, 04:03 UTC across 4 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Democrats, 2+ pts: 42% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 5+ pts: 27% (24h change -10%)
  • Democrats, 8+ pts: 25% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 11+ pts: 10% (24h change 0%)
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Texas's 15th District margin of victory

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