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Texas's 23rd District margin of victory

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Live market summary

Herrera, 2+ pts is favored at 63% as of 4 Nov 2026, 02:01 UTC across 7 markets.

  • Herrera, 2+ pts: 63% (24h change +15%)
  • Herrera, 8+ pts: 39% (24h change +15%)
  • Herrera, 1+ pts: 37% (24h change -15%)
  • Herrera, 5+ pts: 33% (24h change +4%)
  • Herrera, 17+ pts: 24% (24h change +15.6%)
  • Herrera, 14+ pts: 20% (24h change +5%)
  • Herrera, 11+ pts: 4.3% (24h change -18.7%)

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Herrera, 11+ pts

4.3%
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About this market

Market question: Texas's 23rd District margin of victory

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Texas's 23rd District margin of victory?

Herrera, 2+ pts is favored at 63% as of 4 Nov 2026, 02:01 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Texas's 23rd District margin of victory?

Herrera, 2+ pts: 63%; Herrera, 8+ pts: 39%; Herrera, 1+ pts: 37%; Herrera, 5+ pts: 33%; Herrera, 17+ pts: 24%; Herrera, 14+ pts: 20%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.