Democrats, 2+ pts is favored at 77% as of 11 Sep 2026, 04:35 UTC across 5 markets.
- Democrats, 2+ pts: 77% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 5+ pts: 71% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 8+ pts: 60% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 11+ pts: 40% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 14+ pts: 36% (24h change 0%)
Texas's 28th District margin of victory
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: Texas's 28th District margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Texas's 28th District margin of victory?
Democrats, 2+ pts is favored at 77% as of 11 Sep 2026, 04:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Texas's 28th District margin of victory?
Democrats, 2+ pts: 77%; Democrats, 5+ pts: 71%; Democrats, 8+ pts: 60%; Democrats, 11+ pts: 40%; Democrats, 14+ pts: 36%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.