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Live market summary

Bonck, 5+ pts is favored at 80% as of 11 Oct 2026, 06:35 UTC across 4 markets.

  • Bonck, 5+ pts: 80% (24h change 0%)
  • Bonck, 17+ pts: 44% (24h change 0%)
  • Bonck, 20+ pts: 27% (24h change 0%)
  • Bonck, 23+ pts: 12% (24h change 0%)
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Texas's 38th District margin of victory

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About this market

Market question: Texas's 38th District margin of victory

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Texas's 38th District margin of victory?

Bonck, 5+ pts is favored at 80% as of 11 Oct 2026, 06:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Texas's 38th District margin of victory?

Bonck, 5+ pts: 80%; Bonck, 17+ pts: 44%; Bonck, 20+ pts: 27%; Bonck, 23+ pts: 12%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.