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Texas Governor margin of victory

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Live market summary

Abbott, 1+ pts is favored at 64% as of 27 Oct 2026, 17:35 UTC across 13 markets.

  • Abbott, 1+ pts: 64% (24h change -3%)
  • Abbott, 2+ pts: 59% (24h change 0%)
  • Abbott, 3+ pts: 48% (24h change -3%)
  • Abbott, 4+ pts: 40% (24h change -1%)
  • Abbott, 5+ pts: 36% (24h change +4%)
  • Abbott, 6+ pts: 28% (24h change 0%)
  • Abbott, 7+ pts: 27% (24h change +4%)
  • Abbott, 8+ pts: 21% (24h change +2%)
  • Abbott, 9+ pts: 15% (24h change -1%)
  • Abbott, 12+ pts: 8.9% (24h change +0.1%)
  • Abbott, 15+ pts: 6.2% (24h change 0%)
  • Abbott, 18+ pts: 5.3% (24h change +0.1%)
  • Abbott, 21+ pts: 4.9% (24h change +1.9%)

All options

Abbott, 12+ pts

8.9%
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Abbott, 18+ pts

5.3%
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Abbott, 21+ pts

4.9%
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About this market

Market question: Texas Governor margin of victory

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Texas Governor margin of victory?

Abbott, 1+ pts is favored at 64% as of 27 Oct 2026, 17:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Texas Governor margin of victory?

Abbott, 1+ pts: 64%; Abbott, 2+ pts: 59%; Abbott, 3+ pts: 48%; Abbott, 4+ pts: 40%; Abbott, 5+ pts: 36%; Abbott, 6+ pts: 28%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.