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Powered by KalshiMI-08 Republican nominee?·Thomas J Smith·99%(+98%)Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?·Abdul El-Sayed, 0-3%·99%(+96%)MO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Wesley Bell, ≥15%·99%(+91%)Michigan Senate Democratic primary: which counties will Abdul El-Sayed win?·Wayne·1%(-89%)MO-01 Republican nominee?·Andrew Jones·1%(-88%)MO-08 Democratic nominee?·Frank A Barnitz·1%(-88%)MO-04 Democratic nominee?·Jordan Herrera·99%(+83%)MI-13 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Donavan McKinney, 3-6%·96%(+81%)KS-01 Democratic nominee?·Colin McRoberts·1%(-79%)Michigan Senate Democratic primary: voter turnout·Above 1.5M·99%(+63%)Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (July 2026)·At least 80·58%(+57%)Alabama Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 13+ pts·37%(-55%)Virginia's 4th District margin of victory·Democrats, 36+ pts·71%(+53%)WA-05 primary: who will advance?·Carmela Conroy·97%(+53%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/3 - 8/9)·Above 55·27%(-52%)
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Summary

Democrats, 21+ pts is favored at 86% as of 5 Aug 2026, 04:34 UTC across 7 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Democrats, 21+ pts: 86% (24h change +86%)
  • Democrats, 18+ pts: 83% (24h change +83%)
  • Democrats, 24+ pts: 81% (24h change +81%)
  • Democrats, 27+ pts: 72% (24h change +72%)
  • Democrats, 36+ pts: 71% (24h change +53%)
  • Democrats, 30+ pts: 66% (24h change +21%)
  • Democrats, 33+ pts: 48% (24h change +48%)
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Virginia's 4th District margin of victory

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