Virginia's 4th District margin of victory
Trade ↗McClellan, 18+ pts is favored at 95.1% as of 3 Nov 2026, 17:31 UTC across 9 markets.
- McClellan, 18+ pts: 95.1% (24h change 0%)
- McClellan, 21+ pts: 94.8% (24h change 0%)
- McClellan, 15+ pts: 94% (24h change 0%)
- McClellan, 24+ pts: 93.5% (24h change -1.1%)
- McClellan, 27+ pts: 92.2% (24h change -0.4%)
- McClellan, 30+ pts: 90.1% (24h change 0%)
- McClellan, 33+ pts: 86% (24h change 0%)
- McClellan, 36+ pts: 76% (24h change 0%)
- McClellan, 45+ pts: 45% (24h change +12%)
About this market
Market question: Virginia's 4th District margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Virginia's 4th District margin of victory?
McClellan, 18+ pts is favored at 95.1% as of 3 Nov 2026, 17:31 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Virginia's 4th District margin of victory?
McClellan, 18+ pts: 95.1%; McClellan, 21+ pts: 94.8%; McClellan, 15+ pts: 94%; McClellan, 24+ pts: 93.5%; McClellan, 27+ pts: 92.2%; McClellan, 30+ pts: 90.1%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.