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Vermont Governor margin of victory

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Live market summary

Republicans, 5+ pts is favored at 97% as of 4 Nov 2026, 16:32 UTC across 11 markets.

  • Republicans, 5+ pts: 97% (24h change +60%)
  • Republicans, 8+ pts: 94.9% (24h change +74.9%)
  • Republicans, 2+ pts: 64% (24h change +13%)
  • Republicans, 32+ pts: 12% (24h change +8%)
  • Republicans, 17+ pts: 1.3% (24h change -5.1%)
  • Republicans, 11+ pts: 1.1% (24h change -53.9%)
  • Republicans, 14+ pts: 1.1% (24h change -18.9%)
  • Republicans, 23+ pts: 1% (24h change -4.7%)
  • Republicans, 29+ pts: 1% (24h change -4.1%)
  • Republicans, 20+ pts: 1% (24h change -5.8%)
  • Republicans, 26+ pts: 1% (24h change -6.3%)
About this market

Market question: Vermont Governor margin of victory

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Vermont Governor margin of victory?

Republicans, 5+ pts is favored at 97% as of 4 Nov 2026, 16:32 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Vermont Governor margin of victory?

Republicans, 5+ pts: 97%; Republicans, 8+ pts: 94.9%; Republicans, 2+ pts: 64%; Republicans, 32+ pts: 12%; Republicans, 17+ pts: 1.3%; Republicans, 11+ pts: 1.1%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.