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Live market summary

Above 230K is favored at 64% as of 20 Aug 2026, 00:03 UTC across 4 markets.

  • Above 230K: 64% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 260K: 50% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 240K: 42% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 270K: 25% (24h change 0%)
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California 04 House General Election: voter turnout

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About this market

Market question: California 04 House General Election: voter turnout

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in California 04 House General Election: voter turnout?

Above 230K is favored at 64% as of 20 Aug 2026, 00:03 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for California 04 House General Election: voter turnout?

Above 230K: 64%; Above 260K: 50%; Above 240K: 42%; Above 270K: 25%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.