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Powered by KalshiMichigan Senate Democratic primary: which counties will Abdul El-Sayed win?·Genesee·1%(-97%)MO-01 Democratic primary: Cori Bush vote percent·At least 39%·1%(-97%)MI-08 Republican nominee?·Thomas J Smith·99%(+96%)Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?·Abdul El-Sayed, 0-3%·99%(+95%)Michigan Senate Democratic primary: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent·At least 49%·1%(-95%)MO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Wesley Bell, ≥15%·99%(+91%)MO-01 Republican nominee?·Paul Berry III·99%(+90%)Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?·Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?·3%(-87%)MO-04 Democratic nominee?·Hartzell Gray 3rd·1%(-87%)MI-13 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Donavan McKinney, 3-6%·98%(+83%)Will a member of Congress resign or be expelled in Aug 2026?·Will any member of Congress be out as any member of Congress in Aug 2026?·18%(-77%)Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration·$52.5 trillion·15%(-76%)WA-09 primary: who will advance?·Kshama Sawant·1%(-74%)WA-05 primary: who will advance?·Nate Powell·1%(-66%)WA-08 primary: who will advance?·Trinh Ha·25%(-61%)
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Summary

Above 230K is favored at 75% as of 12 Jul 2026, 10:33 UTC across 5 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Above 230K: 75% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 250K: 66% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 260K: 58% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 270K: 51% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 280K: 42% (24h change 0%)
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California 11 House General Election: voter turnout

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