Election
Odds
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U.S. Midterms 2026
2028 President
Congress
Policy
International
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·
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When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?
·
Before May 22, 2026
·
24%
(-32%)
Will the US ban CBDC in 2026?
·
Will legislation prohibiting the Federal Reserve from studying, developing, or issuing a central bank digital currency become law before Jan 1, 2027?
·
52%
(+31%)
Will ICE change its name in 2026?
·
Before Jan 1, 2027
·
50%
(+18%)
US-Iran nuclear deal?
·
Before August
·
45%
(+18%)
119th Congress legislative combo
·
Dysfunction combo
·
14%
(-17%)
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
·
Tulsi Gabbard
·
26%
(-16%)
SC-06 House winner?
·
Republican party
·
51%
(+15%)
Colorado Senate margin of victory
·
Democrats, 16+ pts
·
52%
(-15%)
Texas Senate margin of victory
·
Republicans, 5+ pts
·
36%
(+15%)
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?
·
Kamala Harris
·
63%
(+13%)
Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
·
Benjamin Netanyahu
·
26%
(-13%)
Maine Senate margin of victory
·
Democrats, 11+ pts
·
24%
(+13%)
How many seats will the SNP win in the Scottish Parliament election?
·
Above 64
·
33%
(-13%)
Who will Trump pardon?
·
Pete Hegseth
·
38%
(-13%)
Will Kash Patel announce his departure as FBI Director?
·
Before Jul 1, 2026
·
26%
(-12%)
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Kalshi
When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?
·
Before May 22, 2026
·
24%
(-32%)
Will the US ban CBDC in 2026?
·
Will legislation prohibiting the Federal Reserve from studying, developing, or issuing a central bank digital currency become law before Jan 1, 2027?
·
52%
(+31%)
Will ICE change its name in 2026?
·
Before Jan 1, 2027
·
50%
(+18%)
US-Iran nuclear deal?
·
Before August
·
45%
(+18%)
119th Congress legislative combo
·
Dysfunction combo
·
14%
(-17%)
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
·
Tulsi Gabbard
·
26%
(-16%)
SC-06 House winner?
·
Republican party
·
51%
(+15%)
Colorado Senate margin of victory
·
Democrats, 16+ pts
·
52%
(-15%)
Texas Senate margin of victory
·
Republicans, 5+ pts
·
36%
(+15%)
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?
·
Kamala Harris
·
63%
(+13%)
Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
·
Benjamin Netanyahu
·
26%
(-13%)
Maine Senate margin of victory
·
Democrats, 11+ pts
·
24%
(+13%)
How many seats will the SNP win in the Scottish Parliament election?
·
Above 64
·
33%
(-13%)
Who will Trump pardon?
·
Pete Hegseth
·
38%
(-13%)
Will Kash Patel announce his departure as FBI Director?
·
Before Jul 1, 2026
·
26%
(-12%)
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