ElectionOddsPowered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiWill a member of Congress resign or be expelled in Aug 2026?·Will any member of Congress be out as any member of Congress in Aug 2026?·95%(+79%)Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (July 2026)·At least 80·58%(+57%)WA-05 primary: who will advance?·Carmela Conroy·24%(-56%)Minas Gerais Governor winner?·Cleitinho Azevedo·13%(-54%)Malaysian general election winner?·BN-anchored coalition·41%(-53.2%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/3 - 8/9)·Above 45·41%(-50%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)·Above 50·47%(-50%)TN-06 Democratic nominee?·Lore Bergman·7%(-48%)Trump late night post this week? (8/2-8/8)·3-4 AM·17%(-48%)Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (7/27 - 8/2)·Above 250·67%(+47%)WA-09 primary: who will advance?·Douglas Michael Basler·28%(-44%)Jeanine Pirro announces departure as D.C. U.S. Attorney?·Before Jan 1, 2027·57%(-41%)Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/3 - 8/9)·Above 15·32%(-39%)Traffic through the Panama Canal? (8/3 - 8/9)·Above 200·98%(+36%)Will Congress keep 5mg hemp THC beverages federally legal?·Before Nov 13, 2026·21%(-35%)
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Summary

Above 410K is favored at 58% as of 31 Jul 2026, 02:02 UTC across 4 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Above 410K: 58% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 430K: 27% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 470K: 14% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 490K: 9% (24h change 0%)
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Hawaii Governor General Election: voter turnout

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