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Powered by KalshiWA-09 primary: who will advance?·Douglas Michael Basler·12%(-68%)KS-01 Democratic nominee?·Colin McRoberts·4%(-67%)MO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Wesley Bell, 0-3%·87%(+64%)MO-04 Democratic nominee?·Jordan Herrera·73%(+63%)Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (July 2026)·At least 80·58%(+57%)MI-11 Democratic nominee?·Aisha Farooqi·60%(+56%)Malaysian general election winner?·BN-anchored coalition·41%(-53.2%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/3 - 8/9)·Above 50·30%(-51%)TN-06 Democratic nominee?·Lore Bergman·7%(-49%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)·Above 50·47%(-48%)Minas Gerais Governor winner?·Mateus Simões·61%(+48%)Trump late night post this week? (8/2-8/8)·3-4 AM·17%(-48%)Which Senators will vote for Todd Blanche?·Susan Collins·1%(-46%)Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (7/27 - 8/2)·Above 250·67%(+43%)Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?·Abdul El-Sayed, ≥15%·93%(+41%)
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Summary

Above 590K is favored at 63% as of 26 Jul 2026, 03:03 UTC across 5 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Above 590K: 63% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 620K: 55% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 650K: 41% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 680K: 26% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 710K: 13% (24h change 0%)
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Idaho Governor General Election: voter turnout

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