Election
Odds
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U.S. Midterms 2026
2028 President
Congress
Policy
International
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·
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How long will the next FISA authorization be?
·
At least 2 years
·
32%
(-32%)
Will Kanye West / Ye visit Israel this year?
·
Will Kanye West / Ye visit Israel before Jan 1, 2027?
·
17%
(-29%)
Who will win the next Nigerian presidential election?
·
Peter Obi
·
3%
(-24%)
NY-12 Democratic primary: 2nd place
·
Micah Lasher
·
56%
(+18%)
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
·
Howard Lutnick
·
30%
(+16%)
Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention?
·
Chicago
·
35%
(+13%)
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
·
Alina Habba
·
7.1%
(-12.9%)
What countries will Trump visit in 2026?
·
Germany
·
32%
(-11%)
Maine Senate margin of victory
·
Democrats, 9+ pts
·
19%
(+10.4%)
When will Erica Schwartz be confirmed as CDC director?
·
Before Jan 1, 2027
·
65%
(+10%)
Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?
·
Keir Starmer
·
62%
(-10%)
Marty Makary out as FDA commissioner?
·
Before Jun 1, 2026
·
41%
(-10%)
Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
·
Woody Allen
·
24%
(-9%)
Kash Patel out as FBI Director?
·
Before Jul 1, 2026
·
38%
(+9%)
Mississippi Senate margin of victory
·
Republicans, 5+ pts
·
61%
(-9%)
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Kalshi
How long will the next FISA authorization be?
·
At least 2 years
·
32%
(-32%)
Will Kanye West / Ye visit Israel this year?
·
Will Kanye West / Ye visit Israel before Jan 1, 2027?
·
17%
(-29%)
Who will win the next Nigerian presidential election?
·
Peter Obi
·
3%
(-24%)
NY-12 Democratic primary: 2nd place
·
Micah Lasher
·
56%
(+18%)
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
·
Howard Lutnick
·
30%
(+16%)
Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention?
·
Chicago
·
35%
(+13%)
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
·
Alina Habba
·
7.1%
(-12.9%)
What countries will Trump visit in 2026?
·
Germany
·
32%
(-11%)
Maine Senate margin of victory
·
Democrats, 9+ pts
·
19%
(+10.4%)
When will Erica Schwartz be confirmed as CDC director?
·
Before Jan 1, 2027
·
65%
(+10%)
Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?
·
Keir Starmer
·
62%
(-10%)
Marty Makary out as FDA commissioner?
·
Before Jun 1, 2026
·
41%
(-10%)
Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
·
Woody Allen
·
24%
(-9%)
Kash Patel out as FBI Director?
·
Before Jul 1, 2026
·
38%
(+9%)
Mississippi Senate margin of victory
·
Republicans, 5+ pts
·
61%
(-9%)
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