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Powered by KalshiMI-08 Republican nominee?·Thomas J Smith·99%(+98%)MO-04 Democratic nominee?·Jordan Herrera·99%(+89%)MO-08 Democratic nominee?·Frank A Barnitz·1%(-88%)MO-01 Republican nominee?·Paul Berry III·99%(+87%)MO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Wesley Bell, ≥15%·94%(+86%)WA-08 primary: who will advance?·Trinh Ha·2%(-86%)Michigan Senate Democratic primary: which counties will Abdul El-Sayed win?·Wayne·8%(-79%)KS-01 Democratic nominee?·Colin McRoberts·1%(-70%)Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (July 2026)·At least 80·58%(+57%)Alabama Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 13+ pts·37%(-55%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/3 - 8/9)·Above 55·22%(-54%)Malaysian general election winner?·BN-anchored coalition·41%(-53.2%)Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?·Abdul El-Sayed, 0-3%·56%(+52%)TN-06 Democratic nominee?·Lore Bergman·7%(-49%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)·Above 50·47%(-48%)
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Summary

Above 4.3M is favored at 46% as of 4 Aug 2026, 22:33 UTC across 3 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Above 4.3M: 46% (24h change +2%)
  • Above 4.5M: 32% (24h change +32%)
  • Above 4.9M: 11% (24h change 0%)
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Ohio Governor General Election: voter turnout

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Above 4.3M

46%
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Above 4.5M

32%
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