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Powered by KalshiMO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Wesley Bell, ≥15%·77%(+69%)KS-01 Democratic nominee?·Colin McRoberts·4%(-67%)WA-09 primary: who will advance?·Douglas Michael Basler·14%(-66%)MO-04 Democratic nominee?·Jordan Herrera·73%(+63%)Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (July 2026)·At least 80·58%(+57%)Malaysian general election winner?·BN-anchored coalition·41%(-53.2%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/3 - 8/9)·Above 50·30%(-51%)TN-06 Democratic nominee?·Lore Bergman·7%(-49%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)·Above 50·47%(-48%)Minas Gerais Governor winner?·Mateus Simões·61%(+48%)Trump late night post this week? (8/2-8/8)·3-4 AM·17%(-48%)Which Senators will vote for Todd Blanche?·Susan Collins·2%(-45%)Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (7/27 - 8/2)·Above 250·67%(+43%)Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/3 - 8/9)·Above 15·32%(-39%)MO-08 Democratic nominee?·Frank A Barnitz·50%(-39%)
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Summary

Above 8.4M is favored at 72% as of 4 Aug 2026, 15:04 UTC across 3 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Above 8.4M: 72% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 8.8M: 37% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 9.2M: 31% (24h change 0%)
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Texas Governor General Election: voter turnout

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