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HouseHistorical market

2026 NJ-11 special election margin of victory?

This Kalshi market is closed. The figures below are retained historical prices, not live odds or a verified declaration of the result.

Last recorded market summary

Mejia, 20-24% had the highest retained price at 99.4% when this page was last updated on 15 May 2026, 17:02 UTC. Price alone does not verify the final outcome.

Historical options

Last recorded price
Mejia, 20-24%
Closed contract
99.4%
Mejia, 16-20%
Closed contract
0.2%
Mejia, 24% and above
Closed contract
0%
Mejia, 8-12%
Closed contract
0%
Mejia, 12-16%
Closed contract
0%
Mejia, 0-8%
Closed contract
0%
Hathaway, any margin
Closed contract
0%

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the last price retained before the contract closed. Historical prices show what the market estimated at that time; they do not, by themselves, prove which outcome ultimately occurred.

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Market odds FAQ

What were the last recorded odds for 2026 NJ-11 special election margin of victory?

Mejia, 20-24% had the highest retained price at 99.4% when this page was last updated on 15 May 2026, 17:02 UTC. The market is closed, and this price alone does not verify the final result.

What are the historical odds for 2026 NJ-11 special election margin of victory?

Mejia, 20-24%: 99.4%; Mejia, 16-20%: 0.2%; Mejia, 24% and above: 0%; Mejia, 8-12%: 0%; Mejia, 12-16%: 0%; Mejia, 0-8%: 0%. These are the last prices retained before the market closed.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.